Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.086884 0.096936 0.108081 0.121429 0.137078 0.154965 0.177130
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.073214 0.086963 0.103579 0.125453 0.153978 0.190624 0.242480
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.063611 0.079238 0.099428 0.128123 0.169077 0.227484 0.321265
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.056461 0.073014 0.095573 0.129734 0.182429 0.265007 0.414649
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.050646 0.067481 0.091440 0.129689 0.192772 0.300363 0.519072
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.045665 0.062328 0.086892 0.127874 0.199462 0.331114 0.629216
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.042698 0.059661 0.085552 0.130702 0.214391 0.381229 0.807944
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.039185 0.055727 0.081648 0.128426 0.219307 0.412858 0.962830
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.036895 0.053420 0.080025 0.129786 0.231432 0.464257 1.211812
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.034504 0.050699 0.077361 0.128744 0.238313 0.505952 1.469085
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.032927 0.049142 0.076479 0.130902 0.252593 0.572455 1.893557
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.031559 0.047794 0.075791 0.133292 0.268001 0.649447 2.478880
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.029889 0.045825 0.073831 0.132907 0.277043 0.713466 3.130521
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.028653 0.044506 0.072940 0.134675 0.292220 0.807161 4.210561
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.027526 0.043286 0.072104 0.136438 0.308022 0.914242 5.787398
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.026442 0.042053 0.071113 0.137694 0.322890 1.029379 8.047188
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.025295 0.040617 0.069576 0.137437 0.333310 1.134600 10.973440
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.024070 0.038950 0.067426 0.135391 0.337696 1.216303 14.377592
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.023423 0.038320 0.067328 0.138407 0.359647 1.410753 23.435416
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.022334 0.036776 0.065192 0.135936 0.362249 1.500459 31.860576
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.021662 0.035991 0.064594 0.137397 0.379528 1.703127 54.646171
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.020827 0.034835 0.063103 0.136270 0.386998 1.851530 87.509146
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.020316 0.034284 0.062882 0.138598 0.408896 2.143532 199.668929